Aotearoa Summary. 9 November 2024 - 18 November 2024
The only Mag 6 quake during the period was the 11 November South of Cuba 6.8. Typically when a period is volcanic then quakes tend to be subdued and when a period has many quakes then volcanos tend to be subdued. Local quakes were under Mag 4 but with some risk location success. The 18 November Snares Islands 4.1 is related to the earlier 15 November Balleny Islands 5.5 and 18 November West of Macquarie Island 4.9 slightly activating the Macquarie Fault Zone to the south of NZ. Spaceweather briefly drove mild Kp5 geomagnetic conditions before returning to mild Kp4 conditions for several days. Forecasted late coronal hole windstream conditions never arrived. Coronal hole windstreams have been so weak during Solar Cycle 25 that tectonic response has been almost nonexistent. This is in stark contrast to Solar Cycle 24. 10 November. Northwest Arm Te Anau 3.6 9.15am Lake Grassmere 3.5 11.33am Northnortheast of White Island 3.6 8.48pm 12 November. 200km West of Taranaki 3.8 2.42am 17 November. Offshore Big Bay 4.3 11.43pm 18 November. 50km NW of Snares Islands 4.1 7.55pm Forecast. 9-11 November 2024. Magnitude 4 risk locations are Puysegur Point, Northwest Arm Te Anau, Milford, Otira, South of St Arnaud, St Arnaud, Murchison, Seddon, Cape Campbell, Western Cook Strait, Kapiti, Offshore Levin, South of Wanganui, Southern Wairarapa, Masterton, Dannevirke, Waipukurau, Porangahau, Mahia, Northern Hawkes Bay, Northnortheast of White Island, East of East Cape. Volcanos quiet. Mild Kp4 geomagnetic conditions from the 4 November M3 flare and CME from sunspot 3883 are here. Conditions may continue with the arrival of more solar wind from coronal hole 1253 on 10 November. Possibility Mag 5. Wairarapa, Western Cook Strait higher risk. Aotearoa Earthquake and Volcano Forecast Service © 2013 - 2025 |
